Asian summer monsoon rainfall predictability: a predictable mode analysis
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چکیده
منابع مشابه
Subseasonal Predictability of Boreal Summer Monsoon Rainfall from Ensemble Forecasts
Subseasonal forecast skill over the broadly defined North American (NAM), West African (WAM) and Asian (AM) summer monsoon regions is investigated using three Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS) at sub-monthly lead times. Extended Logistic Regression (ELR) is used to produce probabilistic forecasts of weekly and week 3–4 averages of precipitation with starts in May–Aug, over the 1999–2010 period....
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Monsoonal airflow from the tropics triggers torrential rainfall over coastal regions of East Asia in summer, bringing flooding situations into areas of growing population and industries. However, impacts of rapid seasonal warming of the shallow East China Sea ECS and its pronounced future warming upon extreme summertime rainfall have not been explored. Here we show through cloudresolving atmosp...
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s, Int. Conf. on Monsoon and Hydrologic Cycle, Kyongju, Korea, Korean Meteorological Society, 222–224. Gill, A. E., 1980: Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropi-cal circulation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 106, 447–462.Goswami, B. N., V. Krishnamurthy, and H. Annamalai, 1999: A broad scale circulation index for the interannual variability of the Indian summer monsoon. Quart. J. R...
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متن کاملWater vapor in Asian summer monsoon region
Intraseasonal variations of upper tropospheric water vapor in Asian monsoon region R. Zhan, J. Li, and A. Gettelman State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA Received: 23 May 2006 – Accepted: 7 J...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Climate Dynamics
سال: 2014
ISSN: 0930-7575,1432-0894
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2218-1